VernumoIssues read through official data

Data

Real wages: are pay rises keeping up with prices?

U.S.: pay in September 2026 was up 3% on a year earlier, while prices rose 3.7%. After inflation, pay fell by about 0.7%.

Pay growth after inflation (latest period with both figures)

CountryPay growthInflationAfter inflation
Sweden
Q2 2026
3.1%0.9%+2.2%Pay ahead of prices
Denmark
Q2 2026
3.7%1.6%+2.1%Pay ahead of prices
Portugal
Q2 2026
5.4%3.2%+2.1%Pay ahead of prices
Norway
Q2 2026
4.6%3%+1.6%Pay ahead of prices
Poland
Q2 2026
4.7%3.2%+1.5%Pay ahead of prices
Spain
Q2 2026
4.3%3.6%+0.7%Pay ahead of prices
Finland
Q2 2026
3.3%2.6%+0.7%Pay ahead of prices
UK
August 2026
3.7%3.1%+0.6%Pay ahead of prices
Canada
August 2026
3.68%3.03%+0.6%Pay ahead of prices
Ireland
Q2 2026
3.9%3.4%+0.5%Pay ahead of prices
Netherlands
Q2 2026
3.1%2.8%+0.3%Pay ahead of prices
Germany
Q2 2026
2.9%2.7%+0.2%Pay ahead of prices
Austria
Q2 2026
3.3%3.4%-0.1%Prices ahead of pay
South Korea
July 2026
2.46%2.8%-0.3%Prices ahead of pay
France
Q2 2026
2.1%2.4%-0.3%Prices ahead of pay
U.S.
September 2026
3%3.7%-0.7%Prices ahead of pay
Italy
Q2 2026
2.1%3%-0.9%Prices ahead of pay
Pay growth after inflation, by countryU.S.: 2025-01 1%, 2025-02 1.3%, 2025-03 1.8%, 2025-04 1.6%, 2025-05 1.6%, 2025-06 1.2%, 2025-07 1.3%, 2025-08 1.1%, 2025-09 0.8%, 2025-11 1.2%, 2025-12 1%, 2026-01 1.3%, 2026-02 1.3%, 2026-03 0.1%, 2026-04 -0.2%, 2026-05 -0.9%, 2026-06 -0.1%, 2026-07 -0.2%, 2026-08 -0.3%, 2026-09 -0.7%; UK: 2024-12 2.5%, 2025-01 2%, 2025-02 1.9%, 2025-03 1.7%, 2025-04 1.5%, 2025-05 1.2%, 2025-06 0.6%, 2025-07 0.7%, 2025-08 0.9%, 2025-09 0.8%, 2025-10 0.8%, 2025-11 0.8%, 2025-12 0.6%, 2026-01 0.7%, 2026-02 0.6%, 2026-03 1.1%, 2026-04 1.2%, 2026-05 1.3%, 2026-06 1.3%, 2026-07 0.9%, 2026-08 0.6%; Canada: 2025-04 2.5%, 2025-05 1.4%, 2025-06 1.6%, 2025-07 1.5%, 2025-08 0.8%, 2025-09 0.7%, 2025-10 -0.2%, 2025-11 0.2%, 2025-12 -0.4%, 2026-01 -0.4%, 2026-02 1.1%, 2026-03 1.1%, 2026-04 0.8%, 2026-05 0.1%, 2026-06 0.6%, 2026-07 0.2%, 2026-08 0.6%; South Korea: 2024-10 2.1%, 2024-11 0.8%, 2024-12 2%, 2025-01 13.3%, 2025-02 -7.2%, 2025-03 1%, 2025-04 0.6%, 2025-05 0.5%, 2025-06 0.6%, 2025-07 -3.1%, 2025-08 0%, 2025-09 -1.4%, 2025-10 4.6%, 2025-11 1.6%, 2025-12 0.8%, 2026-01 -9.4%, 2026-02 15.5%, 2026-03 0%, 2026-04 -1%, 2026-05 -1.4%, 2026-06 -0.1%, 2026-07 -0.3% Pay growth after inflation, by country % · 2024-10–2026-09 -9.4%3.05%15.5%U.S. 2025-01: 1%U.S. 2025-02: 1.3%U.S. 2025-03: 1.8%U.S. 2025-04: 1.6%U.S. 2025-05: 1.6%U.S. 2025-06: 1.2%U.S. 2025-07: 1.3%U.S. 2025-08: 1.1%U.S. 2025-09: 0.8%U.S. 2025-11: 1.2%U.S. 2025-12: 1%U.S. 2026-01: 1.3%U.S. 2026-02: 1.3%U.S. 2026-03: 0.1%U.S. 2026-04: -0.2%U.S. 2026-05: -0.9%U.S. 2026-06: -0.1%U.S. 2026-07: -0.2%U.S. 2026-08: -0.3%U.S. 2026-09: -0.7%U.S. -0.7%UK 2024-12: 2.5%UK 2025-01: 2%UK 2025-02: 1.9%UK 2025-03: 1.7%UK 2025-04: 1.5%UK 2025-05: 1.2%UK 2025-06: 0.6%UK 2025-07: 0.7%UK 2025-08: 0.9%UK 2025-09: 0.8%UK 2025-10: 0.8%UK 2025-11: 0.8%UK 2025-12: 0.6%UK 2026-01: 0.7%UK 2026-02: 0.6%UK 2026-03: 1.1%UK 2026-04: 1.2%UK 2026-05: 1.3%UK 2026-06: 1.3%UK 2026-07: 0.9%UK 2026-08: 0.6%UK 0.6%Canada 2025-04: 2.5%Canada 2025-05: 1.4%Canada 2025-06: 1.6%Canada 2025-07: 1.5%Canada 2025-08: 0.8%Canada 2025-09: 0.7%Canada 2025-10: -0.2%Canada 2025-11: 0.2%Canada 2025-12: -0.4%Canada 2026-01: -0.4%Canada 2026-02: 1.1%Canada 2026-03: 1.1%Canada 2026-04: 0.8%Canada 2026-05: 0.1%Canada 2026-06: 0.6%Canada 2026-07: 0.2%Canada 2026-08: 0.6%Canada 0.6%South Korea 2024-10: 2.1%South Korea 2024-11: 0.8%South Korea 2024-12: 2%South Korea 2025-01: 13.3%South Korea 2025-02: -7.2%South Korea 2025-03: 1%South Korea 2025-04: 0.6%South Korea 2025-05: 0.5%South Korea 2025-06: 0.6%South Korea 2025-07: -3.1%South Korea 2025-08: 0%South Korea 2025-09: -1.4%South Korea 2025-10: 4.6%South Korea 2025-11: 1.6%South Korea 2025-12: 0.8%South Korea 2026-01: -9.4%South Korea 2026-02: 15.5%South Korea 2026-03: 0%South Korea 2026-04: -1%South Korea 2026-05: -1.4%South Korea 2026-06: -0.1%South Korea 2026-07: -0.3%South Korea -0.3%2024-102025-102026-09 ■ U.S. ■ UK ■ Canada ■ South Korea Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Office for National Statistics (UK), Statistics Canada, Statistics Korea (KOSIS), Eurostat (European Commission) · Vernumo https://vernumo.com/en-au/real-wages
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Office for National Statistics (UK), Statistics Canada, Statistics Korea (KOSIS), Eurostat (European Commission) · Vernumo

Your pay rise vs inflation

Enter how much your pay went up over the past year. We compare it with the latest official inflation rate in the country you choose.

Your pay after inflation-1.2%

A rise of 4.3% was needed just to keep up with prices.

Australia official inflation, September 2026: 4.3%

Estimate your own inflation rate

How this is calculated

Sources